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đ± Switzerlandâs Climate Experts Declare the 1.5°C Goal Impossible to Achieve đ§đ
Swiss climate scientists warn that the world has missed the 1.5°C climate target set by the Paris Agreement. A new survey reveals global warming could reach 2.5°C by 2100, threatening glaciers, water supplies, and ecosystems. Learn what this means for our planet and why adaptation is now essential.
A new survey conducted among climate experts in Switzerland has delivered a stark warning: the Paris Agreementâs target of limiting global warming to 1.5°C is now unrealistic. According to the findings, 95% of respondents believe the world has already missed the chance to meet this crucial threshold that once symbolized hope for avoiding the worst climate impacts.
The survey, which included leading climatologists, meteorologists, and environmental scientists, highlights a growing consensus within the scientific community that global action has fallen far short of whatâs required to stabilize the planetâs temperature rise.
Table of Contents

Beyond the Paris Agreement: The Reality of 2.5°C
The experts now forecast that the Earth will warm by approximately 2.5°C by the end of this century. This projection reflects current global trends in greenhouse gas emissions, political inertia, and insufficient mitigation strategies.
For Switzerland â a nation thatâs warming at nearly twice the global average â this could mean a rise of 4â4.5°C in local temperatures by 2100. Such warming would radically alter the countryâs iconic alpine environment and pose major risks to water security, agriculture, and public health.
Melting Glaciers and a Vanishing Alpine Heritage
One of the most alarming takeaways is the fate of Swiss glaciers. Scientists warn that over 90% of glaciers could disappear within the next century if current warming trends persist.
Glacial retreat is not only symbolic of the climate crisis but also threatens vital water sources for millions of people across Europe. Reduced snowpack and altered river flows will strain hydropower systems and agricultural irrigation, sectors that depend heavily on predictable seasonal meltwater.
Record Heat and Urban Strain
As global temperatures continue to climb, Swiss cities like Zurich and Geneva are expected to experience regular summer temperatures exceeding 40°C â a scenario once considered unthinkable for the alpine nation.
Urban heat islands, coupled with limited infrastructure to handle prolonged heatwaves, could lead to increased mortality, energy stress, and economic disruption.

The Global Context: A Warning for the World
The surveyâs message goes beyond Switzerlandâs borders. It reflects a global scientific sentiment that the 1.5°C goal â once the cornerstone of international climate policy â may no longer be attainable.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirmed that 2024 marked the first year in human history where global temperatures exceeded +1.5°C compared to pre-industrial levels, reaching around +1.55°C.
This milestone signals not a temporary fluctuation, but a turning point â an indication that the planet is entering a new climate regime with more frequent and intense heatwaves, floods, droughts, and storms.đ§ Why the Goal Slipped Away
Experts cite a combination of factors:
Delayed global action due to political indecision and economic interests.
Continued dependence on fossil fuels despite decades of warnings.
Insufficient renewable energy adoption, especially in developing nations without adequate funding.
Geopolitical conflicts that have diverted attention and resources from long-term environmental goals.
Even with the growing momentum behind clean energy, scientists emphasize that emission reductions are not happening fast enough to bend the global temperature curve.
Adaptation Becomes the New Imperative
While the 1.5°C dream fades, scientists stress that every fraction of a degree still matters. Preventing the rise from reaching 3°C or beyond is critical.
This means governments must double down on adaptation strategies â reinforcing infrastructure, redesigning cities for heat resilience, investing in sustainable agriculture, and protecting vulnerable communities. For developing regions, particularly those reliant on glacial melt and monsoon systems, this will determine their survival.
A Call for Climate Realism and Renewal
The Swiss survey serves as a wake-up call to the international community: hope without action is denial. The world must now confront a harsher reality â one where mitigation and adaptation go hand in hand, and where climate resilience becomes a defining measure of progress.
Even if the 1.5°C threshold is lost, humanity still holds the power to decide how much worse things get. The difference between 2.5°C and 3°C could mean life or death for countless ecosystems, nations, and generations.

Conclusion
Switzerlandâs scientists have spoken clearly: the time for illusions is over.
The 1.5°C target, once a symbol of collective resolve, now stands as a reminder of missed opportunities. But itâs not the end of the story â itâs the beginning of a more honest global conversation about adaptation, accountability, and the urgency of change.
The world may have crossed one line, but thereâs still time to draw another â one that protects what remains and redefines whatâs possible.
FAQs
Why do Swiss scientists believe the 1.5°C goal is impossible to achieve?
Because global greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise and international climate policies remain insufficient. Despite pledges under the Paris Agreement, most countries are not reducing emissions fast enough to keep global warming below 1.5°C.
How much warming do experts now expect by the end of the century?
The majority of surveyed Swiss scientists expect global temperatures to increase by about 2.5°C by 2100, while Switzerland itself could experience 4â4.5°C of local warming due to its alpine geography and faster-than-average climate change rates.
What will be the consequences for Switzerland and the rest of the world?
Switzerland could lose over 90% of its glaciers, face more intense heatwaves, water shortages, and threats to agriculture and hydropower. Globally, exceeding 1.5°C increases the risk of extreme weather events, sea-level rise, and irreversible damage to ecosystems and biodiversity.
Is there still hope for meaningful climate action?
Yes. While 1.5°C may be out of reach, every fraction of a degree matters. Rapid decarbonization, renewable energy expansion, and adaptation measures can still reduce the severity of future impacts and protect vulnerable regions from the worst outcomes.
What steps should governments and individuals take now?
Governments must strengthen emission targets, invest in renewable energy, and prioritize climate adaptation infrastructure. Individuals can help by conserving energy, reducing waste, supporting sustainable businesses, and holding leaders accountable for environmental action.
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